Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 3 4 27 44  0.079  3.821   19 -0.004   19 -0.008   25 -0.026   22 0.4906    4  0.829    5  0.341   27 -0.394    1  0.300 P
METS         3 4 25 27 -0.036  3.457   23 -0.009   23 -0.014   17 -0.011   21 0.4930   29 -0.060   29 -0.407    2  0.385    2  0.273 P
ASTROS       5 2 45 32 -0.138  3.110    3  0.024    3  0.020    5  0.025    8 0.5184    5  0.787    4  0.348   25 -0.298    3  0.266 P
ROYALS       3 3 23 28  0.143  3.425   11  0.006   11  0.002   22 -0.016   15 0.4969   11  0.491   12  0.021   20 -0.053    4  0.248 P
BLUE JAYS    4 2 27 28 -0.267  2.376   10  0.011   10  0.005   14 -0.005   12 0.5020    8  0.608    9  0.140   23 -0.150    5  0.114 P
CARDINALS    4 2 29 28 -0.101  2.791    9  0.014    9  0.010   11 -0.004    9 0.5150   10  0.549   10  0.086   22 -0.094    6  0.066 P
MARINERS     3 4 27 24  0.143  3.930   15 -0.001   15 -0.004    6  0.024   10 0.5134   12  0.473   11  0.045   15  0.003    7  0.005 P
YANKEES      5 1 24  6  0.149  3.335    1  0.047    1  0.045    1  0.077    1 0.5628   30 -0.359   30 -0.502    1  0.655    8  0.003 P
WHITE SOX    1 5 21 52  0.211  3.680   29 -0.036   29 -0.036   30 -0.084   26 0.4663    1  1.076    1  0.559   30 -0.727    9  0.003 P
RANGERS      4 2 32 27  0.003  3.042    7  0.019    6  0.017    8  0.010    4 0.5320    7  0.717    7  0.262   24 -0.243   10  0.003 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      2 4 24 21  0.049  3.205   27 -0.028   27 -0.028   29 -0.038   25 0.4749   23  0.272   23 -0.188    9  0.113   11  0.003 P
PIRATES      3 3 29 26 -0.068  2.887   20 -0.005   20 -0.009   24 -0.016   20 0.4934    6  0.762    6  0.282   26 -0.314   12  0.003 P
RED SOX      1 5 17 32  0.028  3.154   30 -0.037   30 -0.039   26 -0.031   29 0.4588   25  0.190   26 -0.246    6  0.185   13  0.003 P
TWINS        2 4 26 28  0.001  3.058   24 -0.018   24 -0.024   16 -0.010   24 0.4776   13  0.469   14  0.007   19 -0.028   14  0.003 P
TIGERS       2 4 24 24 -0.042  2.950   25 -0.020   25 -0.025   20 -0.014   27 0.4662   28  0.125   28 -0.279    4  0.251   15  0.003 P
NATIONALS    3 3 38 28  0.089  3.268   13  0.002   13 -0.004    9 -0.000   13 0.4997    2  0.892    2  0.435   28 -0.435   16  0.003 P
RAYS         2 4 30 38  0.248  3.672   21 -0.007   21 -0.010   13 -0.004   14 0.4989    3  0.890    3  0.429   29 -0.438   17  0.003 P
ATHLETICS    1 5 17 27  0.216  3.632   28 -0.034   28 -0.035   27 -0.036   30 0.4577   27  0.163   27 -0.272    5  0.200   18  0.003 P
GUARDIANS    4 3 22 29  0.237  4.253    5  0.021    4  0.020   12 -0.004    5 0.5319   20  0.355   21 -0.086   11  0.077   19  0.003 P
ANGELS       3 4 31 35  0.212  4.182   17 -0.002   16 -0.005   15 -0.006   18 0.4954   19  0.371   20 -0.075   12  0.063   20  0.003 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      3 3 26 27 -0.054  2.916   18 -0.002   18 -0.007   18 -0.012   17 0.4961   14  0.450   15 -0.012   18 -0.012   21 -0.015 P
PADRES       2 4 19 26 -0.139  2.704   26 -0.025   26 -0.027   21 -0.015   28 0.4616   15  0.444   16 -0.021   17 -0.009   22 -0.020 P
CUBS         3 3 30 24 -0.054  2.887   14  0.001   14 -0.004    7  0.018   16 0.4964   17  0.438   13  0.007   13  0.029   23 -0.024 P
PHILLIES     3 3 23 36 -0.022  3.006   12  0.004   12 -0.002   23 -0.016   11 0.5082   18  0.417   19 -0.045   14  0.013   24 -0.042 P
GIANTS       3 4 21 27  0.147  4.002   16 -0.002   17 -0.005   19 -0.014   19 0.4940   16  0.442   17 -0.021   16 -0.007   25 -0.076 P
BREWERS      5 1 45 17 -0.273  2.272    2  0.029    2  0.026    2  0.059    2 0.5383   21  0.342   18 -0.034    7  0.152   26 -0.102 P
MARLINS      5 1 33 18 -0.404  2.039    8  0.018    8  0.014   10 -0.003    6 0.5207   22  0.329   22 -0.107   10  0.101   27 -0.112 P
REDS         3 3 17 26 -0.205  2.563   22 -0.008   22 -0.013   28 -0.037   23 0.4798   24  0.257   24 -0.200    8  0.126   28 -0.167 P
DODGERS      4 2 23 17 -0.128  2.687    6  0.019    7  0.015    4  0.029    3 0.5342   26  0.170   25 -0.202    3  0.260   29 -0.233 P
BRAVES       5 2 41 14 -0.159  3.010    4  0.022    5  0.018    3  0.058    7 0.5197    9  0.585    8  0.182   21 -0.065   30 -0.525 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 3 4 27 44  0.079  3.821   19 -0.004   19 -0.008   25 -0.026   22 0.4906    4  0.829    5  0.341   27 -0.394    1  0.300 P
ROCKIES      2 4 24 21  0.049  3.205   27 -0.028   27 -0.028   29 -0.038   25 0.4749   23  0.272   23 -0.188    9  0.113   11  0.003 P
PADRES       2 4 19 26 -0.139  2.704   26 -0.025   26 -0.027   21 -0.015   28 0.4616   15  0.444   16 -0.021   17 -0.009   22 -0.020 P
GIANTS       3 4 21 27  0.147  4.002   16 -0.002   17 -0.005   19 -0.014   19 0.4940   16  0.442   17 -0.021   16 -0.007   25 -0.076 P
DODGERS      4 2 23 17 -0.128  2.687    6  0.019    7  0.015    4  0.029    3 0.5342   26  0.170   25 -0.202    3  0.260   29 -0.233 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    4 2 29 28 -0.101  2.791    9  0.014    9  0.010   11 -0.004    9 0.5150   10  0.549   10  0.086   22 -0.094    6  0.066 P
PIRATES      3 3 29 26 -0.068  2.887   20 -0.005   20 -0.009   24 -0.016   20 0.4934    6  0.762    6  0.282   26 -0.314   12  0.003 P
CUBS         3 3 30 24 -0.054  2.887   14  0.001   14 -0.004    7  0.018   16 0.4964   17  0.438   13  0.007   13  0.029   23 -0.024 P
BREWERS      5 1 45 17 -0.273  2.272    2  0.029    2  0.026    2  0.059    2 0.5383   21  0.342   18 -0.034    7  0.152   26 -0.102 P
REDS         3 3 17 26 -0.205  2.563   22 -0.008   22 -0.013   28 -0.037   23 0.4798   24  0.257   24 -0.200    8  0.126   28 -0.167 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         3 4 25 27 -0.036  3.457   23 -0.009   23 -0.014   17 -0.011   21 0.4930   29 -0.060   29 -0.407    2  0.385    2  0.273 P
NATIONALS    3 3 38 28  0.089  3.268   13  0.002   13 -0.004    9 -0.000   13 0.4997    2  0.892    2  0.435   28 -0.435   16  0.003 P
PHILLIES     3 3 23 36 -0.022  3.006   12  0.004   12 -0.002   23 -0.016   11 0.5082   18  0.417   19 -0.045   14  0.013   24 -0.042 P
MARLINS      5 1 33 18 -0.404  2.039    8  0.018    8  0.014   10 -0.003    6 0.5207   22  0.329   22 -0.107   10  0.101   27 -0.112 P
BRAVES       5 2 41 14 -0.159  3.010    4  0.022    5  0.018    3  0.058    7 0.5197    9  0.585    8  0.182   21 -0.065   30 -0.525 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       5 2 45 32 -0.138  3.110    3  0.024    3  0.020    5  0.025    8 0.5184    5  0.787    4  0.348   25 -0.298    3  0.266 P
MARINERS     3 4 27 24  0.143  3.930   15 -0.001   15 -0.004    6  0.024   10 0.5134   12  0.473   11  0.045   15  0.003    7  0.005 P
RANGERS      4 2 32 27  0.003  3.042    7  0.019    6  0.017    8  0.010    4 0.5320    7  0.717    7  0.262   24 -0.243   10  0.003 P
ATHLETICS    1 5 17 27  0.216  3.632   28 -0.034   28 -0.035   27 -0.036   30 0.4577   27  0.163   27 -0.272    5  0.200   18  0.003 P
ANGELS       3 4 31 35  0.212  4.182   17 -0.002   16 -0.005   15 -0.006   18 0.4954   19  0.371   20 -0.075   12  0.063   20  0.003 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS       3 3 23 28  0.143  3.425   11  0.006   11  0.002   22 -0.016   15 0.4969   11  0.491   12  0.021   20 -0.053    4  0.248 P
WHITE SOX    1 5 21 52  0.211  3.680   29 -0.036   29 -0.036   30 -0.084   26 0.4663    1  1.076    1  0.559   30 -0.727    9  0.003 P
TWINS        2 4 26 28  0.001  3.058   24 -0.018   24 -0.024   16 -0.010   24 0.4776   13  0.469   14  0.007   19 -0.028   14  0.003 P
TIGERS       2 4 24 24 -0.042  2.950   25 -0.020   25 -0.025   20 -0.014   27 0.4662   28  0.125   28 -0.279    4  0.251   15  0.003 P
GUARDIANS    4 3 22 29  0.237  4.253    5  0.021    4  0.020   12 -0.004    5 0.5319   20  0.355   21 -0.086   11  0.077   19  0.003 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    4 2 27 28 -0.267  2.376   10  0.011   10  0.005   14 -0.005   12 0.5020    8  0.608    9  0.140   23 -0.150    5  0.114 P
YANKEES      5 1 24  6  0.149  3.335    1  0.047    1  0.045    1  0.077    1 0.5628   30 -0.359   30 -0.502    1  0.655    8  0.003 P
RED SOX      1 5 17 32  0.028  3.154   30 -0.037   30 -0.039   26 -0.031   29 0.4588   25  0.190   26 -0.246    6  0.185   13  0.003 P
RAYS         2 4 30 38  0.248  3.672   21 -0.007   21 -0.010   13 -0.004   14 0.4989    3  0.890    3  0.429   29 -0.438   17  0.003 P
ORIOLES      3 3 26 27 -0.054  2.916   18 -0.002   18 -0.007   18 -0.012   17 0.4961   14  0.450   15 -0.012   18 -0.012   21 -0.015 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL EAST    19 13 0.594    1  0.052
AL EAST    15 15 0.500    2  0.046
NL CENTRAL 18 12 0.600    3  0.044
AL WEST    16 17 0.485    4  0.039
NL WEST    14 18 0.438    5 -0.063
AL CENTRAL 12 19 0.387    6 -0.143

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.073 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Apr  3 05:30:05 2026
games through: Thu Apr  2 2026

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